Official U.S. Source Register

UNCLASSIFIED//OPEN SOURCE

Prepared UTC: 2026-06-13T22:16:47Z

ODNI Annual Threat Assessment 2026

Source class: A
Publisher: Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Publication date: March 2026
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:20:35Z
URL: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2026-Unclassified-Report.pdf
Use: Baseline U.S. Intelligence Community view of threats to the homeland, major power competition, technology, cyber, space, WMD, and regional conflicts. Also used as a primary source for the Russia strategic weapons and nuclear signaling packet, the DPRK strategic weapons packet, and the Iran WMD and missile-relevance packet, and as threat-context support for the multilateral strategic stability packet.
Reliability note: Authoritative for the public IC assessment. It remains a public product with policy-era framing and release constraints.

ODNI Annual Threat Assessment 2025

Source class: A
Publisher: Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Publication date: March 2025
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:20:35Z
URL: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2025-Unclassified-Report.pdf
Use: Prior-year comparison for threat framing and actor continuity.
Reliability note: Useful for trend comparison against the 2026 ATA.

2026 National Defense Strategy

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense
Publication date: 2026-01-23
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:20:35Z
URL: https://media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/2003864773/-1/-1/0/2026-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY.PDF
Use: Baseline public U.S. defense strategy framing: homeland defense, Indo-Pacific deterrence, ally burden-sharing, and defense industrial base. Also used for DPRK threat framing involving the ROK, Japan, and the U.S. homeland and for Iran post-conflict reconstitution and nuclear-risk framing.
Reliability note: Authoritative for stated U.S. defense strategy. It is a policy document, not a neutral outside assessment.

2024 Department Of Defense Arctic Strategy

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense
Publication date: 2024-06-21 memorandum; public PDF released July 2024
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:48:56Z
URL: https://media.defense.gov/2024/Jul/22/2003507411/-1/-1/0/DOD-ARCTIC-STRATEGY-2024.PDF
Use: Current public U.S. defense strategy framing for the Arctic as a homeland-defense, alliance, domain-awareness, PRC-Russia cooperation, climate-access, infrastructure, communications, missile-warning, and monitor-and-respond problem.
Reliability note: Authoritative for stated U.S. defense strategy. It is a policy document, not a neutral outside assessment, and WARLOCK-INDEX products separate departmental intent from independent analytic judgment.

White House Camp David Principles

Source class: A
Publisher: White House archived site
Publication date: 2023-08-18
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T03:16:36Z
URL: https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/camp-david-principles/
Use: Official public baseline for Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the United States trilateral principles, including Indo-Pacific stability, DPRK denuclearization language, Taiwan Strait stability, nonproliferation, technology cooperation, and international-law framing.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived White House public statement language. It is historical policy framing and requires later sources for implementation or current administration positions.

White House Spirit Of Camp David Joint Statement

Source class: A
Publisher: White House archived site
Publication date: 2023-08-18
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T03:16:36Z
URL: https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/
Use: Official public baseline for U.S.-Japan-ROK trilateral consultation, annual meeting architecture, maritime security, DPRK missile-warning data sharing, DPRK cyber-threat cooperation, economic security, technology, critical minerals, semiconductors, AI, quantum, supply-chain resilience, and DPRK strategic-weapons source work.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived joint statement language. It does not independently prove future political continuity, readiness, or implementation.

White House Washington Declaration

Source class: A
Publisher: White House archived site
Publication date: 2023-04-26
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T03:16:36Z
URL: https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/04/26/washington-declaration-2/
Use: Official public baseline for U.S.-ROK extended deterrence, the Nuclear Consultative Group, ROK NPT reaffirmation, combined defense posture, DPRK nuclear and missile threat framing, strategic assurance analysis, and DPRK strategic-weapons source work.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived White House statement language. WARLOCK-INDEX products use it at strategic consultation level and do not derive nuclear planning or operational detail from it.

White House ICE Pact Announcement

Source class: A
Publisher: White House archived site
Publication date: 2024-07-11
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T03:16:36Z
URL: https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/11/biden-harris-administration-announces-new-polar-partnership-ice-pact-alongside-finland-and-canada/
Use: Official public baseline for the U.S.-Canada-Finland Icebreaker Collaboration Effort, polar icebreaker production, information exchange, workforce development, allied purchasing, shipbuilding capacity, and polar access infrastructure.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived White House announcement language. It is an initial arrangement source and requires later U.S., Canadian, Finnish, Coast Guard, and industry sources for implementation.

U.S. Africa Command 2025 Posture Statement To Congress

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Africa Command
Publication date: 2025-04-03
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:52:27Z
URL: https://www.africom.mil/document/35820/2025-sasc-posture-statementpdf
Use: Public command testimony for Africa as a nexus theater, including terrorism, partner capacity, East Africa, North Africa, West Africa, Central and Southern Africa, critical minerals, China influence, maritime security, and crisis-response context.
Reliability note: Authoritative for AFRICOM's public command view. It is congressional posture testimony, so WARLOCK-INDEX products separate command priorities from independent analytic judgment.

U.S. Africa Command Public Command Overview

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Africa Command
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:52:27Z
URL: https://www.africom.mil/about-the-command
Use: Baseline public command description for AFRICOM's area of responsibility, mission, personnel, partner architecture, and component structure.
Reliability note: Authoritative for public command description. The site is dynamic, so dated captures and direct page links are required for time-sensitive claims.

2025 National Security Strategy

Source class: A
Publisher: White House
Publication date: November 2025
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:10:07Z
URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf
Use: Baseline public U.S. strategy framing for vital interests, Western Hemisphere prioritization, strategic geography, critical supply chains, outside-state influence, and regional access.
Reliability note: Authoritative for stated U.S. national security strategy. It is a policy document, not a neutral outside assessment, and is separated from analytic judgment in WARLOCK-INDEX products.

U.S. Code Taiwan Relations Act

Source class: A
Publisher: Office of the Law Revision Counsel, U.S. House of Representatives
Publication date: Current U.S. Code chapter view, accessed 2026-06-13
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T02:03:36Z
URL: https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?path=/prelim@title22/chapter48&edition=prelim
Use: Baseline statutory text for U.S. policy interests involving Taiwan, Western Pacific peace and stability, unofficial relations, defensive capacity, and coercion concerns.
Reliability note: Authoritative for the published U.S. Code text. Legal text is policy and statutory evidence, not an independent intelligence assessment, and WARLOCK-INDEX products use it for policy architecture rather than predictive judgment.

U.S. Industrial Base Policy Public Website

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense / Department of War Industrial Base Policy
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:17:09Z
URL: https://www.businessdefense.gov/
Use: Current public official framing for Industrial Base Policy mission, organization, priorities, production, productivity, and public announcements.
Reliability note: Authoritative for public Industrial Base Policy messaging and organizational framing. The site is dynamic, so dated captures and direct page links are used for time-sensitive claims.

U.S. Industrial Base Resilience Public Page

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense / Department of War Industrial Base Policy
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:17:09Z
URL: https://www.businessdefense.gov/ibr/index.html
Use: Current public official framing for Industrial Base Resilience, supply-chain vulnerability analysis, Defense Production Act and Industrial Base Fund investment activity, and sub-tier supplier risk mitigation.
Reliability note: Authoritative for public Industrial Base Resilience organizational framing. The site is dynamic, so dated captures and direct page links are used for time-sensitive claims.

Treasury 2024 National Money Laundering Risk Assessment

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Publication date: February 2024
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:39:11Z
URL: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/2024-National-Money-Laundering-Risk-Assessment.pdf
Use: Baseline public U.S. framing for money laundering threats, including fraud, drug trafficking, cybercrime, professional money laundering, corruption, human trafficking, human smuggling, cash, virtual assets, and financial-system vulnerabilities.
Reliability note: Authoritative for public Treasury risk framing and useful for strategic illicit-finance analysis. It is not a live operational map and benefits from cross-reading with later Treasury, DOJ, DEA, DHS, and allied releases for current cases.

Treasury 2024 National Terrorist Financing Risk Assessment

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Publication date: February 2024
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:39:11Z
URL: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/2024-National-Terrorist-Financing-Risk-Assessment.pdf
Use: Baseline public U.S. framing for terrorist financing threats, vulnerabilities, and trends involving ISIS, al-Qaida, Hizballah, Hamas, domestic violent extremism, transnational racially or ethnically motivated violent extremism, money services businesses, cash, banks, virtual assets, nonprofits, and online fundraising.
Reliability note: Authoritative for public Treasury terrorist-financing risk framing. Because it reflects a 2022-2023 review period, current claims require later ODNI, Treasury, State, FBI, DHS, DOJ, UN, or allied updates.

2025 White House Cartel And Transnational Organization Designation Order

Source class: A
Publisher: White House
Publication date: 2025-01-20
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:39:11Z
URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/
Use: Public U.S. policy context for designation processes involving certain international cartels and transnational organizations as potential Foreign Terrorist Organizations or Specially Designated Global Terrorists.
Reliability note: Authoritative for stated executive-branch policy and designation process context. It is policy language, not neutral analytic judgment; WARLOCK-INDEX products distinguish designation status from independent classification of criminal, terrorist, insurgent, or state-proxy behavior.

2026 U.S. Counterterrorism Strategy

Source class: A
Publisher: White House
Publication date: May 2026
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T01:41:46Z
URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/2026-USCT-Strategy-1.pdf
Use: Current public U.S. counterterrorism strategy framing for threat families, homeland emphasis, regional prioritization, terrorist-financing concerns, cartels and transnational gangs, legacy jihadist terrorism, domestic political violence framing, and WMD-related terrorism concerns.
Reliability note: Authoritative for stated executive-branch strategy and policy priorities. It includes political and operational language; WARLOCK-INDEX products use it as policy-context evidence and separate it from analytic judgment.

Executive Order 14175: Designation Of Ansar Allah

Source class: A
Publisher: Federal Register / Executive Office of the President
Publication date: 2025-01-31
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T02:08:52Z
URL: https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/01/31/2025-02103/designation-of-ansar-allah-as-a-foreign-terrorist-organization
Use: Public U.S. legal and policy framing for Ansar Allah, also known as the Houthis, including designation process, Iran support language, attacks against U.S. Navy warships and commercial vessels, Bab al-Mandeb disruption, civilian deaths, rerouting, and global maritime-trade effects.
Reliability note: Authoritative for the published executive order and Federal Register metadata. It is policy and legal framing, not neutral independent intelligence assessment; WARLOCK-INDEX products separate the designation basis from broader analytic judgment.

2022 National Defense Strategy, Nuclear Posture Review, And Missile Defense Review

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense
Publication date: 2022-10-27
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:20:35Z
URL: https://media.defense.gov/2022/Oct/27/2003103845/-1/-1/1/2022-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY-NPR-MDR.PDF
Use: Historical comparison for integrated deterrence, campaigning, and resilience concepts, and a nuclear-posture and missile-defense policy baseline for Russia, DPRK, Iran, and multilateral strategic-stability source work.
Reliability note: Superseded as current strategy by the 2026 NDS but still valuable for continuity analysis.

White House Arms Control Association Annual Forum Remarks

Source class: A
Publisher: White House archived site
Publication date: 2023-06-02
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T22:16:47Z
URL: https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/06/02/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-for-the-arms-control-association-aca-annual-forum/
Use: Official public U.S. framing for post-New START risk reduction, bilateral engagement with Russia and China, multilateral arms-control efforts through the P5, PRC transparency concerns, and emerging-technology strategic-stability questions.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived White House public policy framing. It is a speech, not treaty text, and WARLOCK-INDEX products treat it as stated U.S. position rather than independent evidence of future agreement.

State Department New START Treaty Materials

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of State
Publication date: 2010 treaty materials; archived State Department access path
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-13T02:15:18Z
URL: https://2009-2017.state.gov/t/avc/trty/126118.htm
Use: Historical official U.S. source for New START treaty text, protocol context, central-limit framing, arms-control baseline analysis, and Russia strategic-weapons treaty-status source work.
Reliability note: Authoritative for archived State Department treaty materials. It is a historical treaty source and requires later ODNI, DoD, State, NATO, and congressional sources for current status and compliance claims.

2025 Report To Congress On Military And Security Developments Involving The PRC

Source class: A
Publisher: U.S. Department of Defense
Publication date: 2025-12-23
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:20:35Z
URL: https://media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/23/2003849070/-1/-1/1/ANNUAL-REPORT-TO-CONGRESS-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2025.PDF
Use: Primary unclassified baseline on PLA strategy, capabilities, modernization, Taiwan pressure, and PRC military technology.
Reliability note: Authoritative U.S. defense assessment for public use. It is focused on U.S. security concerns and is cross-read with allied, academic, and PRC primary sources where appropriate.

DIA Iran Military Power

Source class: A
Publisher: Defense Intelligence Agency
Publication date: 2019
Information cutoff: August 2019
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:33:32Z
URL: https://www.dia.mil/Portals/110/Images/News/Military_Powers_Publications/Iran_Military_Power_LR.pdf
Use: Durable baseline on Iranian military doctrine, regime-survival logic, IRGC/Qods Force role, ballistic missile forces, maritime denial, unconventional operations, cyber, intelligence, and military-industrial structure. Used as durable background in the Iran WMD and missile-relevance packet, with current claims refreshed through newer official sources.
Reliability note: Authoritative U.S. defense intelligence baseline for public use. Because the information cutoff is August 2019, current capability claims are refreshed with newer ODNI, DoD, IAEA, congressional, allied, or reputable research sources.

DIA Russia Military Power

Source class: A
Publisher: Defense Intelligence Agency
Publication date: 2017
Accessed UTC: 2026-06-12T23:42:12Z
URL: https://www.dia.mil/Portals/110/Images/News/Military_Powers_Publications/Russia_Military_Power_Report_2017.pdf
Use: Durable baseline on Russian defense strategy, military modernization, nuclear forces, information operations, cyber, electronic warfare, indirect action, space/counterspace, denial and deception, and defense industry. Used as older background in the Russia strategic weapons and nuclear signaling packet, with current claims refreshed through ODNI, DoD, NATO, State, and research sources.
Reliability note: Authoritative U.S. defense intelligence baseline for public use. Because the report predates Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine, current capability claims are refreshed with newer ODNI, DoD, NATO, congressional, allied, or reputable research sources.