StandardGlobalTradecraftHigh Confidence

Product Standard

standard, datetime/versioning standard, assessment style guide, structured metadata standard, and initial corpus product requirements.

Review Queue Full Index

UNCLASSIFIED//OPEN SOURCE

Standard ID: WI-STD-001

Prepared UTC: 2026-06-19T00:00:00Z

Information cutoff UTC: 2026-06-19T00:00:00Z

Source base: WARLOCK-INDEX operating boundary, source evaluation standard, datetime/versioning standard, assessment style guide, structured metadata standard, and initial corpus product requirements.

Analytic confidence: High for internal repository product requirements and safety boundaries.

Topics: tradecraft; product requirements; standards Source classes: Internal standard Safety boundary: Defines required structure and prohibited content for open-source research products only. Does not authorize operational, targeting, or policy content.

Purpose

This standard defines the minimum structure for WARLOCK-INDEX analytical products. It is designed to keep the repository useful to defense researchers and decision-support readers while preventing drift into unsupported claims, policy advocacy, or operational instruction.

Required Header Fields

Assessments use the Classification-style header documented in the assessment style guide. Other products use typed-ID headers (Explainer ID, Source Packet ID, etc.). See assessment-style-guide.md and the specific standard for the product type.

Every assessment must include:

  • Classification: Always UNCLASSIFIED//OPEN SOURCE unless a future approved public-release label is more specific.
  • Handling: Public open-source research.
  • Product ID: Stable identifier using the format WI-ASMT-AREA-YEAR-NNNN.
  • Prepared UTC: ISO 8601 timestamp.
  • Information cutoff UTC: ISO 8601 timestamp for the latest information reflected in the product.
  • Scope: What the product covers.
  • Exclusions: What it deliberately does not cover.
  • Source base: Short source summary with full source list at the end.
  • Analytic confidence: High, moderate, or low.

Non-assessment products document equivalent fields using their typed ID format and must still carry Prepared UTC, Information cutoff UTC, Source base, and Analytic confidence.

See the Structured Metadata And Export Standard for the current recommended and generated fields. The list below is retained for continuity:

  • Topics: Human-readable topical labels for search and crosswalks.
  • Actors: States, agencies, organizations, sectors, or institutions covered.
  • Source classes: Official, allied, vendor, vulnerability database, academic, legal, media, geospatial, maritime, or other source classes.
  • Safety boundary: Short statement of what the product deliberately excludes.
  • Freshness status: Current, Watch, Gap, Reference, Superseded, or Stale.
  • Last source check UTC: Most recent source-sweep timestamp.
  • Next refresh UTC: Next required review timestamp.
  • Caveat tags: Standard caveat labels.
  • Primary sources: Semicolon-separated source families or URLs.
  • Related products: Product IDs for connected products.

Analytic Confidence

  • High: Multiple reliable sources converge; core facts are official, directly observable, or otherwise well corroborated.
  • Moderate: Main judgment is supported, but source recency, access, or interpretation leaves meaningful uncertainty.
  • Low: Sparse, contested, rapidly changing, or indirectly sourced evidence.

Confidence is not a measure of importance. It is a measure of evidentiary strength, source quality, and analytic stability.

Estimative Language

Use consistent probability language:

  • Almost certainly: very high likelihood.
  • Likely: strong likelihood.
  • Probably: more likely than not.
  • May or could: plausible but uncertain.
  • Unclear: evidence is insufficient or contradictory.

Avoid false precision. Do not assign numeric probabilities unless the source itself provides a defensible basis.

Required Assessment Sections

Assessment products should normally include:

  • Bottom line.
  • Key judgments.
  • Scope and information cutoff.
  • Strategic context.
  • Evidence and analysis.
  • Indicators to monitor.
  • Information gaps.
  • Source base.

Prohibited Content

WARLOCK-INDEX products must not include:

  • Recommendations for U.S. or allied action.
  • Target packages, target prioritization, or target selection.
  • Weapons employment procedures.
  • Tactical instructions for military, cyber, intelligence, or covert activity.
  • Exploit steps, evasion methods, or instructions to bypass security controls.
  • Classified, leaked, personal, or otherwise improperly obtained information.
  • Unsupported claims presented as fact.

Revision Practice

Do not silently overwrite major judgments. If a product changes materially, create a new dated product or add a clearly labeled revision note explaining what changed, why it changed, and what source base caused the change.

Cross References

Minimal Header Example (Assessment)

**Classification:** UNCLASSIFIED//OPEN SOURCE
**Handling:** Public open-source research
**Product ID:** WI-ASMT-GLOBAL-2026-0002
**Prepared UTC:** 2026-06-13T00:49:30Z
**Information cutoff UTC:** 2026-06-13T00:49:30Z
**Scope:** ...
**Exclusions:** ...
**Source base:** ...
**Analytic confidence:** ...